This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Cheltenham Town's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Cheltenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,541.0 Sunday August 16th, 202616 AUG 2026 |
3,447.9 Sunday August 16th, 202616 AUG 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,649.5 Saturday November 27th, 202127 NOV 2021 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,135.7 Saturday November 23rd, 197423 NOV 1974 |
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Cheltenham Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Cheltenham Town wins |
Swindon goals |
Cheltenham Town goals |
Swindon SR% |
Cheltenham Town SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Home | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Away | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 DEC 2025 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3490)
Cheltenham Town (3490)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3590)
Swindon (3590)
|
12.3 |
| 09 DEC 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3598)
Swindon (3598)
|
0 - 1 |
Cheltenham Town (3455)
Cheltenham Town (3455)
|
14.8 |
| 15 MAR 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3519)
Swindon (3519)
|
3 - 3 |
Cheltenham Town (3531)
Cheltenham Town (3531)
|
0.7 |
| 12 OCT 2024 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3512)
Cheltenham Town (3512)
|
2 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3437)
Swindon (3437)
|
13.1 |
| 19 NOV 2019 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3567)
Swindon (3567)
|
0 - 1 |
Cheltenham Town (3566)
Cheltenham Town (3566)
|
5.6 |
| 09 NOV 2019 | FAC |
Cheltenham Town (3566)
Cheltenham Town (3566)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3556)
Swindon (3556)
|
0.7 |
| 24 AUG 2019 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3511)
Cheltenham Town (3511)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3536)
Swindon (3536)
|
0.4 |
| 27 APR 2019 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3494)
Cheltenham Town (3494)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3529)
Swindon (3529)
|
9.8 |
| 22 DEC 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3494)
Swindon (3494)
|
0 - 0 |
Cheltenham Town (3449)
Cheltenham Town (3449)
|
2.4 |
| 10 MAR 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3554)
Swindon (3554)
|
0 - 3 |
Cheltenham Town (3469)
Cheltenham Town (3469)
|
23.5 |
| 07 OCT 2017 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3489)
Cheltenham Town (3489)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3562)
Swindon (3562)
|
11.0 |
| 08 NOV 2014 | FAC |
Cheltenham Town (3481)
Cheltenham Town (3481)
|
5 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3731)
Swindon (3731)
|
15.4 |
| 10 MAR 2012 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3695)
Swindon (3695)
|
1 - 0 |
Cheltenham Town (3560)
Cheltenham Town (3560)
|
5.2 |
| 13 AUG 2011 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3405)
Cheltenham Town (3405)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
13.5 |
| 03 MAR 2009 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3608)
Swindon (3608)
|
2 - 2 |
Cheltenham Town (3485)
Cheltenham Town (3485)
|
4.5 |
| 16 AUG 2008 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3577)
Cheltenham Town (3577)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3657)
Swindon (3657)
|
16.4 |
| 12 FEB 2008 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3646)
Swindon (3646)
|
3 - 0 |
Cheltenham Town (3583)
Cheltenham Town (3583)
|
12.1 |
| 25 AUG 2007 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3610)
Cheltenham Town (3610)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3632)
Swindon (3632)
|
0.8 |
| 12 MAR 2003 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3639)
Swindon (3639)
|
0 - 3 |
Cheltenham Town (3563)
Cheltenham Town (3563)
|
24.2 |
| 17 SEP 2002 | EFL |
Cheltenham Town (3579)
Cheltenham Town (3579)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
12.9 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3541) and Cheltenham Town (3448).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 OCT 1990 | EFL |
Hartlepool United (3448)
Hartlepool United (3448)
|
1 - 0 |
Maidstone United (3541)
Maidstone United (3541)
|
10.5 |
| 03 NOV 1984 | EFL |
Peterborough United (3541)
Peterborough United (3541)
|
2 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3448)
Crewe Alexandra (3448)
|
5.1 |
| 27 DEC 1969 | EFL |
Darlington (3448)
Darlington (3448)
|
1 - 2 |
Brentford (3541)
Brentford (3541)
|
10.4 |