This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of York City's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| York City | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,622.7 Sunday September 6th, 202606 SEP 2026 |
3,558.8 Sunday September 6th, 202606 SEP 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,769.1 Saturday March 22nd, 197522 MAR 1975 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,157.9 Saturday January 26th, 201926 JAN 2019 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
A summary of all historical matches between York City and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | York City wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
York City goals |
Swindon goals |
York City SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Home | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| Away | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 6.2% | 93.8% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 NOV 2018 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3502)
Swindon (3502)
|
2 - 1 |
York City (3197)
York City (3197)
|
1.2 |
| 13 JAN 1996 | EFL |
York City (3620)
York City (3620)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3803)
Swindon (3803)
|
19.8 |
| 19 AUG 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3737)
Swindon (3737)
|
3 - 0 |
York City (3692)
York City (3692)
|
11.9 |
| 03 MAR 1987 | EFL |
York City (3583)
York City (3583)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3739)
Swindon (3739)
|
14.1 |
| 01 NOV 1986 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3696)
Swindon (3696)
|
3 - 1 |
York City (3671)
York City (3671)
|
10.3 |
| 24 MAR 1984 | EFL |
York City (3633)
York City (3633)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3527)
Swindon (3527)
|
7.3 |
| 15 OCT 1983 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3466)
Swindon (3466)
|
3 - 2 |
York City (3614)
York City (3614)
|
11.6 |
| 26 MAR 1983 | EFL |
York City (3537)
York City (3537)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3502)
Swindon (3502)
|
3.5 |
| 13 NOV 1982 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3593)
Swindon (3593)
|
3 - 2 |
York City (3437)
York City (3437)
|
3.9 |
| 19 APR 1977 | EFL |
York City (3533)
York City (3533)
|
4 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3622)
Swindon (3622)
|
14.4 |
| 29 MAR 1977 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3658)
Swindon (3658)
|
5 - 1 |
York City (3576)
York City (3576)
|
9.6 |
| 19 OCT 1965 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3683)
Swindon (3683)
|
6 - 0 |
York City (3570)
York City (3570)
|
9.5 |
| 23 AUG 1965 | EFL |
York City (3577)
York City (3577)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3703)
Swindon (3703)
|
14.0 |
| 23 JAN 1960 | EFL |
York City (3616)
York City (3616)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
6.6 |
| 12 SEP 1959 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3645)
Swindon (3645)
|
1 - 1 |
York City (3599)
York City (3599)
|
4.0 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as York City (3623) and Swindon Town (3559).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 OCT 1990 | EFL |
Cambridge United (3623)
Cambridge (3623)
|
4 - 1 |
Rotherham United (3559)
Rotherham United (3559)
|
10.8 |