This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Crewe Alexandra
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Crewe Alexandra's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,595.9 Wednesday February 18th, 202618 FEB 2026 |
3,524.4 Wednesday February 18th, 202618 FEB 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,831.5 Saturday January 1st, 200501 JAN 2005 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,139.6 Saturday October 6th, 188306 OCT 1883 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Crewe Alexandra wins |
Swindon goals |
Crewe Alexandra goals |
Swindon SR% |
Crewe Alexandra SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 50 | 22 | 9 | 19 | 71 | 57 | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Home | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Away | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 AUG 2025 | EFL | 
Crewe Alexandra (3529)
Crewe Alexandra (3529)
|
0 - 3 | 
Swindon Town (3546)
Swindon (3546)
|
18.5 |
| 11 JAN 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3449)
Swindon (3449)
|
0 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3575)
Crewe Alexandra (3575)
|
2.5 |
| 24 AUG 2024 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3475)
Crewe Alexandra (3475)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3443)
Swindon (3443)
|
2.0 |
| 13 JAN 2024 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3561)
Crewe Alexandra (3561)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3466)
Swindon (3466)
|
6.4 |
| 12 AUG 2023 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3515)
Swindon (3515)
|
2 - 2 |
Crewe Alexandra (3494)
Crewe Alexandra (3494)
|
1.6 |
| 29 APR 2023 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3462)
Crewe Alexandra (3462)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3514)
Swindon (3514)
|
10.4 |
| 19 NOV 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
0 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3477)
Crewe Alexandra (3477)
|
14.2 |
| 06 NOV 2021 | FAC |
Crewe Alexandra (3576)
Crewe Alexandra (3576)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3572)
Swindon (3572)
|
9.8 |
| 20 FEB 2021 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3530)
Swindon (3530)
|
2 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3651)
Crewe Alexandra (3651)
|
12.3 |
| 01 DEC 2020 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3629)
Crewe Alexandra (3629)
|
4 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3571)
Swindon (3571)
|
10.9 |
| 11 JAN 2020 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3596)
Swindon (3596)
|
3 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3584)
Crewe Alexandra (3584)
|
12.8 |
| 19 OCT 2019 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3569)
Crewe Alexandra (3569)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3535)
Swindon (3535)
|
11.9 |
| 22 APR 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
1 - 2 |
Crewe Alexandra (3503)
Crewe Alexandra (3503)
|
12.2 |
| 02 OCT 2018 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3472)
Crewe Alexandra (3472)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
10.8 |
| 27 JAN 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3550)
Swindon (3550)
|
4 - 3 |
Crewe Alexandra (3438)
Crewe Alexandra (3438)
|
5.9 |
| 23 DEC 2017 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3445)
Crewe Alexandra (3445)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
14.6 |
| 16 JAN 2016 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3642)
Swindon (3642)
|
4 - 3 |
Crewe Alexandra (3523)
Crewe Alexandra (3523)
|
5.8 |
| 05 SEP 2015 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3567)
Crewe Alexandra (3567)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3693)
Swindon (3693)
|
11.3 |
| 28 FEB 2015 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3594)
Crewe Alexandra (3594)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3740)
Swindon (3740)
|
3.0 |
| 23 AUG 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3674)
Swindon (3674)
|
2 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3580)
Crewe Alexandra (3580)
|
9.4 |
| 01 MAR 2014 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3582)
Crewe Alexandra (3582)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3665)
Swindon (3665)
|
1.2 |
| 31 AUG 2013 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3710)
Swindon (3710)
|
5 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3616)
Crewe Alexandra (3616)
|
12.6 |
| 16 APR 2013 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3720)
Swindon (3720)
|
4 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3618)
Crewe Alexandra (3618)
|
10.6 |
| 23 OCT 2012 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3598)
Crewe Alexandra (3598)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3713)
Swindon (3713)
|
12.1 |
| 17 MAR 2012 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3539)
Crewe Alexandra (3539)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3700)
Swindon (3700)
|
19.8 |
| 06 AUG 2011 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3562)
Swindon (3562)
|
3 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3529)
Crewe Alexandra (3529)
|
13.6 |
| 04 APR 2009 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3628)
Swindon (3628)
|
0 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3619)
Crewe Alexandra (3619)
|
1.6 |
| 13 DEC 2008 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3518)
Crewe Alexandra (3518)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3620)
Swindon (3620)
|
11.6 |
| 26 JAN 2008 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3568)
Crewe Alexandra (3568)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3646)
Swindon (3646)
|
0.8 |
| 01 SEP 2007 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3633)
Swindon (3633)
|
1 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3618)
Crewe Alexandra (3618)
|
1.8 |
| 19 APR 2003 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3802)
Crewe Alexandra (3802)
|
0 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3603)
Swindon (3603)
|
16.4 |
| 21 DEC 2002 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3600)
Swindon (3600)
|
1 - 3 |
Crewe Alexandra (3759)
Crewe Alexandra (3759)
|
11.0 |
| 26 FEB 2000 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3621)
Swindon (3621)
|
0 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3712)
Crewe Alexandra (3712)
|
9.3 |
| 18 SEP 1999 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3760)
Crewe Alexandra (3760)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3681)
Swindon (3681)
|
6.0 |
| 13 MAR 1999 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3711)
Swindon (3711)
|
1 - 2 |
Crewe Alexandra (3685)
Crewe Alexandra (3685)
|
12.6 |
| 07 NOV 1998 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3711)
Crewe Alexandra (3711)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3692)
Swindon (3692)
|
18.6 |
| 11 JAN 1998 | EFL | 
Crewe Alexandra (3698)
Crewe Alexandra (3698)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3752)
Swindon (3752)
|
14.6 |
| 09 AUG 1997 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3720)
Swindon (3720)
|
2 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3719)
Crewe Alexandra (3719)
|
12.2 |
| 08 APR 1996 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3708)
Crewe Alexandra (3708)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3806)
Swindon (3806)
|
13.8 |
| 21 OCT 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3799)
Swindon (3799)
|
2 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3739)
Crewe Alexandra (3739)
|
6.5 |
| 05 MAY 1986 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3671)
Swindon (3671)
|
1 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3475)
Crewe Alexandra (3475)
|
3.2 |
| 17 SEP 1985 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3449)
Crewe Alexandra (3449)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3477)
Swindon (3477)
|
12.3 |
| 16 MAR 1985 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3457)
Swindon (3457)
|
1 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3446)
Crewe Alexandra (3446)
|
2.9 |
| 13 OCT 1984 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3410)
Crewe Alexandra (3410)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3479)
Swindon (3479)
|
9.3 |
| 18 MAR 1984 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3521)
Swindon (3521)
|
1 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3449)
Crewe Alexandra (3449)
|
5.6 |
| 08 OCT 1983 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3361)
Crewe Alexandra (3361)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3482)
Swindon (3482)
|
16.2 |
| 05 FEB 1983 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3308)
Crewe Alexandra (3308)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3608)
Swindon (3608)
|
26.9 |
| 25 SEP 1982 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3558)
Swindon (3558)
|
1 - 0 |
Crewe Alexandra (3302)
Crewe Alexandra (3302)
|
2.4 |
| 15 APR 1969 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3791)
Swindon (3791)
|
1 - 0 | 
Crewe Alexandra (3508)
Crewe Alexandra (3508)
|
1.9 |
| 04 APR 1969 | EFL |
Crewe Alexandra (3533)
Crewe Alexandra (3533)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3788)
Swindon (3788)
|
5.9 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3596) and Crewe Alexandra (3524).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 MAY 1989 | EFL | 
Tranmere Rovers (3596)
Tranmere Rovers (3596)
|
1 - 1 |
Crewe Alexandra (3524)
Crewe Alexandra (3524)
|
4.1 |
| 01 DEC 1984 | EFL | 
Swansea City (3524)
Swansea City (3524)
|
0 - 2 | 
Plymouth Argyle (3596)
Plymouth Argyle (3596)
|
15.9 |