This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Aston Villa
ELO Score History
A historical overview of Aston Villa's ELO scores.
Best Teams in History
A list of the top 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1897 | Saturday September 18th, 1897 | 4,269.36 |
| 2025 | Saturday December 27th, 2025 | 4,258.25 |
| 2026 | Sunday January 25th, 2026 | 4,256.22 |
| 1896 | Saturday December 26th, 1896 | 4,231.58 |
| 2023 | Sunday December 17th, 2023 | 4,224.41 |
| 2024 | Saturday January 6th, 2024 | 4,211.56 |
| 1895 | Saturday November 2nd, 1895 | 4,200.58 |
| 1900 | Monday September 10th, 1900 | 4,184.88 |
| 1898 | Saturday January 8th, 1898 | 4,181.47 |
| 1905 | Saturday November 4th, 1905 | 4,172.97 |
| 1899 | Saturday January 21st, 1899 | 4,171.78 |
| 1894 | Wednesday December 26th, 1894 | 4,165.68 |
| 1914 | Saturday March 14th, 1914 | 4,160.59 |
| 1910 | Saturday December 10th, 1910 | 4,159.46 |
| 2010 | Tuesday March 16th, 2010 | 4,148.44 |
Worst Teams in History
A list of the worst 15 Aston Villa sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1970 | Saturday March 28th, 1970 | 3,655.21 |
| 1971 | Saturday May 1st, 1971 | 3,685.14 |
| 1968 | Saturday December 14th, 1968 | 3,693.55 |
| 1969 | Saturday December 13th, 1969 | 3,718.46 |
| 1972 | Saturday January 8th, 1972 | 3,758.55 |
Significant Victories
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Aston Villa history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Aston Villa (3,987) vs. Liverpool (4,407) Tuesday December 17th, 2019 |
10.07% | 5-0 | +36.0 |
|
Aston Villa (4,024) vs. Liverpool (4,360) Sunday October 4th, 2020 |
15.41% | 7-2 | +33.8 |
|
Liverpool (4,259) vs. Aston Villa (3,940) Saturday September 13th, 2014 |
11.18% | 0-1 | +17.8 |
|
Sunderland (4,166) vs. Aston Villa (3,848) Wednesday January 1st, 1936 |
6.95% | 1-3 | +27.9 |
|
Aston Villa (3,964) vs. Chelsea (4,274) Saturday March 15th, 2014 |
17.52% | 1-0 | +16.5 |
|
Manchester City (4,271) vs. Aston Villa (3,961) Tuesday September 25th, 2012 |
11.60% | 2-4 | +13.3 |
|
Aston Villa (4,032) vs. Chelsea (4,316) Sunday September 2nd, 2007 |
20.54% | 2-0 | +23.8 |
|
Liverpool (4,207) vs. Aston Villa (3,946) Sunday April 19th, 2015 |
18.21% | 1-2 | +16.4 |
|
Aston Villa (3,944) vs. Manchester United (4,198) Wednesday April 28th, 1965 |
29.48% | 2-1 | +14.1 |
|
Aston Villa (3,928) vs. Manchester United (4,175) Saturday August 19th, 1995 |
26.41% | 3-1 | +22.1 |
|
Aston Villa (3,999) vs. Manchester City (4,242) Saturday September 28th, 2013 |
23.78% | 3-2 | +15.2 |
|
Aston Villa (4,079) vs. Chelsea (4,318) Saturday October 17th, 2009 |
24.68% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
|
Aston Villa (3,939) vs. Manchester United (4,172) Saturday February 19th, 1949 |
31.59% | 2-1 | +13.7 |
|
Liverpool (4,271) vs. Aston Villa (4,041) Monday August 24th, 2009 |
17.01% | 1-3 | +24.9 |
|
Aston Villa (3,974) vs. Liverpool (4,204) Monday April 16th, 1979 |
32.80% | 3-1 | +20.2 |
|
Aston Villa (3,892) vs. Preston North End (4,120) Saturday November 22nd, 1958 |
33.04% | 2-0 | +20.1 |
|
Aston Villa (3,754) vs. Southampton (3,981) Wednesday January 29th, 1969 |
33.06% | 2-1 | +13.4 |
|
Manchester United (4,215) vs. Aston Villa (3,989) Sunday March 27th, 1994 |
21.39% | 1-3 | +23.6 |
|
Aston Villa (3,993) vs. Manchester United (4,216) Wednesday October 13th, 1999 |
29.00% | 3-0 | +12.4 |
|
Aston Villa (3,911) vs. Manchester United (4,132) Saturday December 3rd, 1966 |
33.68% | 2-1 | +13.3 |
Significant Defeats
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Aston Villa history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Aston Villa (4,075) vs. Stevenage (3,596) Sunday January 8th, 2023 |
95.14% | 1-2 | -9.5 |
|
Bradford City (3,527) vs. Aston Villa (3,979) Tuesday January 8th, 2013 |
91.33% | 3-1 | -27.4 |
|
Reading (3,654) vs. Aston Villa (4,053) Wednesday February 7th, 1912 |
82.88% | 1-0 | -16.6 |
|
Millwall Athletic (3,761) vs. Aston Villa (4,151) Monday March 5th, 1900 |
81.71% | 2-1 | -16.3 |
|
Aldershot (3,533) vs. Aston Villa (3,921) Wednesday January 8th, 1964 |
83.79% | 2-1 | -16.8 |
|
Aston Villa (4,123) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3,772) Thursday February 25th, 1904 |
94.26% | 0-1 | -18.9 |
|
Blackburn Rovers (3,920) vs. Aston Villa (4,269) Saturday September 25th, 1897 |
77.77% | 4-3 | -15.6 |
|
Aston Villa (3,975) vs. Sheffield United (3,654) Saturday January 4th, 2014 |
88.95% | 1-2 | -8.9 |
|
Aston Villa (4,071) vs. Fulham (3,761) Saturday January 23rd, 1999 |
89.74% | 0-2 | -13.5 |
|
Aston Villa (4,009) vs. Colchester United (3,700) Wednesday September 5th, 1979 |
91.50% | 0-2 | -27.4 |
|
Aston Villa (4,060) vs. Leicester City (3,755) Wednesday September 26th, 2007 |
88.51% | 0-1 | -8.9 |
|
Burnley (3,759) vs. Aston Villa (4,061) Tuesday October 26th, 2004 |
80.11% | 3-1 | -12.0 |
|
Glossop (3,854) vs. Aston Villa (4,153) Saturday December 16th, 1899 |
72.58% | 1-0 | -14.5 |
|
Aston Villa (4,063) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3,765) Wednesday November 28th, 2001 |
89.04% | 0-1 | -8.9 |
|
Aston Villa (4,232) vs. Burnley (3,937) Saturday January 2nd, 1897 |
92.30% | 0-3 | -32.3 |
|
Torquay United (3,548) vs. Aston Villa (3,839) Wednesday April 12th, 1972 |
74.90% | 2-1 | -15.0 |
|
Aston Villa (4,104) vs. Notts County (3,825) Saturday August 29th, 1981 |
89.78% | 0-1 | -18.0 |
|
Notts County (3,861) vs. Aston Villa (4,137) Saturday December 16th, 1905 |
70.00% | 2-1 | -14.0 |
|
Doncaster Rovers (3,695) vs. Aston Villa (3,967) Tuesday November 29th, 2005 |
77.60% | 3-0 | -13.6 |
|
Luton Town (3,560) vs. Aston Villa (3,830) Wednesday August 10th, 2016 |
79.29% | 3-1 | -11.9 |
Opponents
A complete listing of Aston Villa's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
