This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Derby County
ELO Score History
A historical overview of Derby County's ELO scores.
Best Teams in History
A list of the top 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1972 | Saturday April 15th, 1972 | 4,132.61 |
| 1948 | Saturday November 6th, 1948 | 4,125.45 |
| 1976 | Saturday March 20th, 1976 | 4,124.23 |
| 1897 | Saturday March 6th, 1897 | 4,122.66 |
| 1896 | Wednesday March 4th, 1896 | 4,120.47 |
| 1950 | Saturday January 7th, 1950 | 4,114.42 |
| 1949 | Saturday December 31st, 1949 | 4,103.94 |
| 1970 | Wednesday August 26th, 1970 | 4,101.60 |
| 1898 | Saturday March 19th, 1898 | 4,094.18 |
| 1934 | Saturday February 3rd, 1934 | 4,093.89 |
| 1973 | Wednesday February 7th, 1973 | 4,091.52 |
| 1975 | Saturday November 29th, 1975 | 4,089.73 |
| 1971 | Saturday November 20th, 1971 | 4,089.09 |
| 1895 | Saturday December 28th, 1895 | 4,082.61 |
| 1902 | Saturday December 13th, 1902 | 4,081.51 |
Worst Teams in History
A list of the worst 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | Monday December 26th, 1955 | 3,622.75 |
| 1956 | Saturday January 14th, 1956 | 3,639.70 |
| 1957 | Saturday February 9th, 1957 | 3,657.56 |
| 1985 | Saturday March 2nd, 1985 | 3,657.86 |
| 1982 | Saturday November 13th, 1982 | 3,667.80 |
| 1984 | Saturday March 31st, 1984 | 3,669.01 |
| 2003 | Saturday August 30th, 2003 | 3,677.82 |
| 1983 | Saturday January 1st, 1983 | 3,679.11 |
| 1962 | Saturday October 27th, 1962 | 3,689.53 |
| 1958 | Saturday November 8th, 1958 | 3,696.30 |
Significant Victories
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Derby County history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Derby County (3,759) vs. Manchester United (4,304) Wednesday January 7th, 2009 |
5.39% | 1-0 | +18.9 |
|
Manchester United (4,271) vs. Derby County (3,907) Saturday May 5th, 2001 |
7.76% | 0-1 | +18.4 |
|
Derby County (3,699) vs. Nottingham Forest (4,031) Saturday January 8th, 1983 |
20.05% | 2-0 | +24.0 |
|
Derby County (3,688) vs. Norwich City (4,006) Saturday February 18th, 1984 |
21.42% | 2-1 | +15.7 |
|
Derby County (3,843) vs. Everton (4,152) Wednesday October 23rd, 1968 |
23.51% | 1-0 | +15.3 |
|
Manchester United (4,177) vs. Derby County (3,892) Saturday April 5th, 1997 |
11.72% | 2-3 | +17.7 |
|
Derby County (3,801) vs. Chelsea (4,080) Wednesday October 2nd, 1968 |
26.82% | 3-1 | +22.0 |
|
Derby County (3,954) vs. Preston North End (4,230) Saturday October 19th, 1889 |
27.26% | 2-1 | +14.5 |
|
Derby County (3,873) vs. Nottingham Forest (4,133) Saturday November 24th, 1979 |
28.88% | 4-1 | +24.9 |
|
Derby County (3,951) vs. Sunderland (4,206) Saturday September 14th, 1895 |
33.23% | 2-0 | +20.0 |
|
Derby County (3,749) vs. AFC Bournemouth (3,999) Sunday November 21st, 2021 |
22.75% | 3-2 | +15.4 |
|
Derby County (3,701) vs. Liverpool (3,951) Saturday October 19th, 1957 |
30.43% | 2-1 | +13.9 |
|
Derby County (3,696) vs. Liverpool (3,942) Saturday November 15th, 1958 |
30.76% | 3-2 | +13.8 |
|
Derby County (3,716) vs. Birmingham City (3,958) Saturday August 6th, 2011 |
24.37% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
|
Derby County (3,899) vs. Chelsea (4,136) Saturday October 30th, 1999 |
27.42% | 3-1 | +21.8 |
|
Derby County (3,767) vs. Fulham (4,002) Friday April 15th, 2022 |
24.37% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
|
Derby County (3,868) vs. Arsenal (4,101) Saturday September 27th, 1952 |
31.71% | 2-0 | +20.5 |
|
Derby County (3,847) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4,079) Saturday November 3rd, 1979 |
32.28% | 2-1 | +13.5 |
|
Crystal Palace (4,070) vs. Derby County (3,840) Sunday January 5th, 2020 |
17.48% | 0-1 | +8.3 |
|
Derby County (3,759) vs. Newcastle United (3,989) Tuesday February 9th, 2010 |
25.62% | 3-0 | +26.0 |
Significant Defeats
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Derby County history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Derby County (3,902) vs. The Wednesday (3,294) Saturday January 31st, 1891 |
98.40% | 2-3 | -19.7 |
|
Chorley (3,243) vs. Derby County (3,801) Saturday January 9th, 2021 |
95.19% | 2-0 | -14.3 |
|
Cambridge United (3,502) vs. Derby County (3,992) Tuesday September 19th, 1989 |
91.48% | 2-1 | -18.3 |
|
Exeter City (3,576) vs. Derby County (4,052) Saturday January 10th, 1931 |
87.96% | 3-2 | -17.6 |
|
Derby County (3,666) vs. Boston United (3,194) Saturday December 10th, 1955 |
96.56% | 1-6 | -38.6 |
|
Southend United (3,481) vs. Derby County (3,912) Tuesday September 22nd, 1987 |
87.70% | 1-0 | -17.5 |
|
Derby County (3,894) vs. Bristol Rovers (3,500) Sunday January 6th, 2002 |
93.41% | 1-3 | -14.0 |
|
Portsmouth (3,510) vs. Derby County (3,893) Wednesday August 12th, 2015 |
87.93% | 2-1 | -8.8 |
|
Derby County (3,862) vs. Grimsby Town (3,495) Wednesday August 24th, 2005 |
91.98% | 0-1 | -9.2 |
|
Hartlepool United (3,354) vs. Derby County (3,716) Wednesday September 4th, 1985 |
82.70% | 2-0 | -24.8 |
|
Crewe Alexandra (3,459) vs. Derby County (3,804) Tuesday August 10th, 2010 |
84.89% | 1-0 | -8.5 |
|
Millwall (3,705) vs. Derby County (4,035) Saturday February 20th, 1937 |
75.74% | 2-1 | -15.1 |
|
Halifax Town (3,400) vs. Derby County (3,729) Tuesday August 31st, 1982 |
79.65% | 2-1 | -15.9 |
|
Stockport County (3,636) vs. Derby County (3,956) Monday January 1st, 1912 |
75.47% | 4-0 | -28.3 |
|
Crawley Town (3,495) vs. Derby County (3,802) Monday January 10th, 2011 |
81.94% | 2-1 | -8.2 |
|
Lincoln City (3,599) vs. Derby County (3,904) Friday April 17th, 1908 |
73.63% | 1-0 | -14.7 |
|
Birmingham (3,625) vs. Derby County (3,926) Saturday February 18th, 1911 |
73.29% | 2-0 | -22.0 |
|
Glossop (3,635) vs. Derby County (3,933) Saturday February 10th, 1912 |
73.01% | 3-1 | -21.9 |
|
Hartlepool United (3,406) vs. Derby County (3,700) Saturday November 17th, 1984 |
76.11% | 2-1 | -15.2 |
|
Bradford (Park Avenue) (3,419) vs. Derby County (3,704) Saturday August 25th, 1956 |
73.45% | 3-2 | -14.7 |
Opponents
A complete listing of Derby County's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
