TownEnders.com - Swindon Town FC - ELO Club History: Luton Town

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ELO Club History

This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Luton Town

ELO Score History

A historical overview of Luton Town's ELO scores.

Best Teams in History

A list of the top 15 Luton Town sides in history, based on their ELO score.

Year Date Recorded ELO Score
1987 Wednesday January 28th, 1987 4,075.54
1986 Saturday November 15th, 1986 4,068.27
1988 Sunday February 28th, 1988 4,065.78
1958 Saturday February 15th, 1958 4,029.08
1955 Tuesday December 27th, 1955 4,024.01
1989 Wednesday March 1st, 1989 4,021.56
1985 Saturday December 7th, 1985 4,019.38
1959 Saturday March 7th, 1959 4,015.55
1957 Saturday December 28th, 1957 4,000.81
1956 Wednesday January 11th, 1956 3,991.07
2024 Saturday February 3rd, 2024 3,974.02
1983 Monday December 26th, 1983 3,973.86
1982 Saturday October 9th, 1982 3,969.52
1953 Saturday February 7th, 1953 3,945.59
1960 Saturday January 30th, 1960 3,944.87

Worst Teams in History

A list of the worst 15 Luton Town sides in history, based on their ELO score.

Year Date Recorded ELO Score
2013 Saturday April 6th, 2013 3,361.25
1966 Saturday December 3rd, 1966 3,422.26
1967 Saturday April 8th, 1967 3,425.42
2012 Saturday April 7th, 2012 3,437.71
2009 Saturday October 31st, 2009 3,474.03
2010 Tuesday March 2nd, 2010 3,483.36
1965 Monday December 27th, 1965 3,486.98
2011 Tuesday December 6th, 2011 3,487.08
2008 Saturday November 29th, 2008 3,494.86
2016 Saturday April 9th, 2016 3,502.43

Significant Victories

A list of the twenty most significant victories in Luton Town history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

Match Win % Score ELO +/-
Norwich City (3,965) vs. Luton Town (3,440)
Saturday January 26th, 2013 		3.67% 0-1 +9.6
Luton Town (3,428) vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers (3,781)
Saturday January 5th, 2013 		14.36% 1-0 +8.6
Luton Town (3,533) vs. Bristol City (3,843)
Tuesday August 11th, 2015 		17.35% 3-1 +12.4
Luton Town (3,822) vs. Arsenal (4,121)
Thursday December 26th, 1991 		21.59% 1-0 +15.7
Luton Town (3,908) vs. Newcastle United (4,203)
Saturday December 23rd, 2023 		18.42% 1-0 +16.3
Luton Town (3,884) vs. Liverpool (4,177)
Saturday February 23rd, 1991 		22.27% 3-1 +23.3
Luton Town (3,534) vs. Plymouth Argyle (3,818)
Tuesday August 12th, 2008 		20.34% 2-0 +11.9
Luton Town (3,746) vs. Portsmouth (4,025)
Saturday January 6th, 1951 		25.72% 2-0 +22.3
Luton Town (3,656) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3,933)
Saturday January 28th, 1933 		30.09% 2-0 +21.0
Luton Town (3,560) vs. Aston Villa (3,830)
Wednesday August 10th, 2016 		20.71% 3-1 +11.9
Luton Town (3,668) vs. Charlton Athletic (3,934)
Tuesday September 25th, 2007 		22.30% 3-1 +11.7
Luton Town (3,596) vs. Portsmouth (3,854)
Saturday April 26th, 1902 		32.65% 2-1 +13.5
Luton Town (3,676) vs. Sunderland (3,933)
Tuesday August 28th, 2007 		23.29% 3-0 +13.4
Luton Town (3,578) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3,830)
Saturday March 21st, 1903 		34.17% 3-0 +23.0
Ipswich Town (4,045) vs. Luton Town (3,797)
Thursday December 26th, 1974 		11.83% 0-1 +17.6
Luton Town (3,676) vs. Derby County (3,924)
Tuesday September 17th, 1996 		25.86% 1-0 +7.4
Luton Town (3,789) vs. Newcastle United (4,036)
Wednesday February 9th, 1994 		26.82% 2-0 +11.0
Luton Town (3,635) vs. Birmingham (3,880)
Saturday January 8th, 1921 		32.36% 2-1 +13.5
Luton Town (3,824) vs. Leeds United (4,069)
Saturday March 22nd, 1975 		30.36% 2-1 +13.9
Luton Town (3,710) vs. Ipswich Town (3,951)
Tuesday September 22nd, 1998 		26.88% 4-2 +11.0

Significant Defeats

A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Luton Town history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

Match Win % Score ELO +/-
Hillingdon Borough (3,191) vs. Luton Town (3,812)
Saturday December 6th, 1969 		95.11% 2-1 -19.0
Darlington (3,467) vs. Luton Town (3,916)
Tuesday September 9th, 1975 		87.94% 2-1 -17.6
Stockport County (3,569) vs. Luton Town (4,001)
Saturday January 4th, 1958 		86.69% 3-0 -30.3
Luton Town (3,724) vs. Hull City (3,328)
Saturday December 5th, 1998 		93.50% 1-2 -9.3
Grimsby Town (3,517) vs. Luton Town (3,890)
Tuesday February 7th, 2023 		87.33% 3-0 -15.3
Luton Town (3,546) vs. Corby Town (3,178)
Tuesday December 7th, 1965 		93.80% 0-1 -18.8
York City (3,417) vs. Luton Town (3,779)
Tuesday January 9th, 1979 		81.36% 2-0 -24.4
Newport County (3,432) vs. Luton Town (3,787)
Saturday December 19th, 1936 		78.23% 2-1 -15.6
Luton Town (3,872) vs. Newport County (3,524)
Tuesday August 9th, 2022 		90.23% 2-3 -9.0
Luton Town (3,973) vs. Rotherham United (3,677)
Tuesday October 25th, 1983 		90.34% 0-2 -27.1
Swindon Town (3,517) vs. Luton Town (3,793)
Saturday March 21st, 1936 		69.58% 3-0 -24.4
Charlton Athletic (3,688) vs. Luton Town (3,962)
Tuesday October 26th, 1982 		74.05% 2-0 -22.2
Chesterfield (3,404) vs. Luton Town (3,676)
Saturday January 13th, 2018 		79.32% 2-0 -23.8
Luton Town (3,508) vs. Ebbsfleet United (3,245)
Saturday January 30th, 2010 		85.49% 2-3 -17.1
Cardiff City (3,457) vs. Luton Town (3,714)
Monday August 27th, 1934 		67.33% 1-0 -13.5
Southport (3,269) vs. Luton Town (3,525)
Saturday March 26th, 2011 		77.20% 2-1 -15.4
Plymouth Argyle (3,700) vs. Luton Town (3,949)
Saturday March 5th, 1955 		69.38% 2-1 -13.9
Exeter City (3,659) vs. Luton Town (3,904)
Tuesday September 26th, 2023 		76.88% 1-0 -7.7
Barrow (3,488) vs. Luton Town (3,732)
Saturday February 14th, 1970 		68.87% 2-1 -13.8
Luton Town (3,792) vs. Gillingham (3,551)
Saturday December 27th, 1969 		88.07% 1-2 -17.6

Opponents

A complete listing of Luton Town's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.

# Opponent P W D L Avg ELO +/-
1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 12 9 2 1 +8.53
2 Barnet Barnet 10 7 1 2 +4.15
3 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 29 15 4 10 +3.01
4 Notts County Notts County 72 35 22 15 +2.88
5 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 30 15 10 5 +2.75
6 Kettering Town Kettering Town 14 8 4 2 +2.63
7 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 37 15 9 13 +2.45
8 Aston Villa Aston Villa 41 19 5 17 +2.29
9 Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves 34 13 6 15 +2.26
10 Accrington Stanley Accrington 13 6 3 4 +2.12
11 Exeter City Exeter City 69 36 15 18 +2.02
12 Cambridge United Cambridge United 36 15 15 6 +2.01
13 Torquay United Torquay United 32 19 7 6 +1.91
14 Blackpool Blackpool 59 26 16 17 +1.89
15 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green 12 8 3 1 +1.86
16 Liverpool Liverpool 40 7 14 19 +1.66
17 Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town 24 13 5 6 +1.62
18 Swansea City Swansea City 61 25 14 22 +1.60
19 Aldershot Town Aldershot 22 12 6 4 +1.49
20 FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town 14 9 3 2 +1.47
21 Carlisle United Carlisle United 30 12 11 7 +1.30
22 Barrow Barrow 16 10 2 4 +1.28
23 Lincoln City Lincoln City 40 21 13 6 +1.26
24 Southport Southport 17 9 4 4 +1.16
25 Peterborough United Peterborough United 28 11 12 5 +1.16
26 Chesterfield Chesterfield 40 17 11 12 +1.03
27 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 23 14 2 7 +1.02
28 Reading Reading 90 38 19 33 +0.97
29 Everton Everton 49 16 10 23 +0.95
30 Morecambe Morecambe 10 6 2 2 +0.93
31 Watford Watford 116 51 27 38 +0.91
32 Oxford United Oxford United 40 18 10 12 +0.91
33 Tamworth Tamworth 10 7 2 1 +0.88
34 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 26 12 6 8 +0.83
35 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn 49 18 16 15 +0.82
36 Rochdale Rochdale 17 9 4 4 +0.80
37 Gillingham Gillingham 90 45 20 25 +0.79
38 Rotherham United Rotherham United 37 16 11 10 +0.77
39 Swindon Town Swindon 100 44 21 35 +0.74
40 Northampton Town Northampton Town 80 37 14 29 +0.74
41 Southend United Southend United 78 36 16 26 +0.71
42 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 32 13 8 11 +0.69
43 Bradford (Park Avenue) Bradford (PA) 21 8 6 7 +0.69
44 Chester Chester 13 4 8 1 +0.68
45 Leeds United Leeds United 51 14 17 20 +0.54
46 Brighton and Hove Albion Brighton 85 34 20 31 +0.51
47 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 60 29 15 16 +0.42
48 Manchester City Man City 52 14 15 23 +0.41
49 Hull City Hull City 47 22 9 16 +0.40
50 Bury Bury 44 20 10 14 +0.38
51 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 46 17 16 13 +0.36
52 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 30 13 5 12 +0.35
53 Brentford Brentford 103 45 21 37 +0.31
54 Portsmouth Portsmouth 81 32 16 33 +0.30
55 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham 66 16 21 29 +0.21
56 Sheffield United Sheffield United 50 17 11 22 +0.11
57 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 75 34 15 26 +0.09
58 Port Vale Port Vale 37 17 8 12 +0.03
59 Cardiff City Cardiff City 72 29 18 25 +0.01
60 Newport County Newport County 58 27 17 14 -0.02
61 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 70 23 19 28 -0.04
62 West Ham United West Ham United 90 30 25 35 -0.05
63 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 20 7 7 6 -0.11
64 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 66 21 22 23 -0.14
65 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 22 12 4 6 -0.15
66 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 72 25 18 29 -0.16
67 Bristol City Bristol City 68 26 17 25 -0.19
68 Derby County Derby County 49 20 11 18 -0.24
69 Walsall Walsall 43 20 6 17 -0.32
70 Southampton Southampton 97 30 21 46 -0.34
71 Leicester City Leicester City 64 19 21 24 -0.39
72 Darlington Darlington 15 7 3 5 -0.39
73 Newcastle United Newcastle United 53 18 12 23 -0.39
74 Chelsea Chelsea 46 13 12 21 -0.67
75 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 14 6 2 6 -0.67
76 Arsenal Arsenal 48 10 10 28 -0.72
77 Norwich City Norwich City 99 34 26 39 -0.74
78 Queens Park Rangers Q.P.R. 135 43 37 55 -0.75
79 Stockport County Stockport County 24 12 6 6 -0.76
80 Bradford City Bradford 19 8 7 4 -0.86
81 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 26 13 4 9 -0.86
82 AFC Bournemouth Bournemouth 65 23 17 25 -0.89
83 York City York City 28 12 8 8 -0.90
84 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 121 47 28 46 -0.93
85 Stevenage Stevenage 11 4 3 4 -1.05
86 Colchester United Colchester United 26 9 9 8 -1.13
87 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 55 18 18 19 -1.17
88 Burnley Burnley 57 16 14 27 -1.18
89 Barnsley Barnsley 65 27 10 28 -1.20
90 Millwall Millwall 121 33 39 49 -1.21
91 Stoke City Stoke City 53 13 18 22 -1.26
92 Fulham Fulham 70 23 14 33 -1.38
93 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 102 28 32 42 -1.54
94 Bolton Wanderers Bolton 38 11 10 17 -1.54
95 Gateshead Gateshead 11 5 4 2 -1.66
96 Preston North End Preston North End 54 14 12 28 -1.70
97 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 13 3 7 3 -2.09
98 Sunderland Sunderland 65 15 15 35 -2.10
99 Coventry City Coventry City 91 29 20 42 -2.16
100 AFC Wimbledon Wimbledon 26 7 8 11 -2.32
101 Wrexham Wrexham 46 17 9 20 -2.35
102 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 51 11 11 29 -2.43
103 Birmingham City Birmingham 67 14 21 32 -2.43
104 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 34 11 13 10 -2.64
105 Macclesfield Macclesfield 10 3 4 3 -3.59
106 Crawley Town Crawley Town 11 4 2 5 -3.92
107 Leyton Leyton 12 4 2 6 -4.14
108 Manchester United Man Utd 42 4 7 31 -4.64