This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
A historical overview of Millwall's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Millwall sides in history, based on their ELO score.
Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
---|---|---|
1989 | Saturday March 25th, 1989 | 3,993.80 |
1988 | Saturday November 26th, 1988 | 3,959.24 |
1971 | Saturday November 20th, 1971 | 3,921.98 |
2018 | Tuesday April 10th, 2018 | 3,909.48 |
2004 | Sunday April 4th, 2004 | 3,908.87 |
1972 | Saturday August 19th, 1972 | 3,904.76 |
1973 | Friday March 2nd, 1973 | 3,904.36 |
1990 | Saturday January 20th, 1990 | 3,903.83 |
1968 | Saturday November 16th, 1968 | 3,903.73 |
2002 | Tuesday January 15th, 2002 | 3,899.85 |
2012 | Tuesday November 27th, 2012 | 3,898.33 |
2020 | Wednesday October 28th, 2020 | 3,893.23 |
2023 | Tuesday March 14th, 2023 | 3,893.12 |
2022 | Saturday July 30th, 2022 | 3,881.90 |
1993 | Wednesday January 27th, 1993 | 3,881.70 |
A list of the worst 15 Millwall sides in history, based on their ELO score.
Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
---|---|---|
1958 | Monday September 8th, 1958 | 3,422.41 |
1960 | Monday September 26th, 1960 | 3,465.26 |
1959 | Monday March 30th, 1959 | 3,474.13 |
1955 | Tuesday December 27th, 1955 | 3,477.04 |
1956 | Saturday March 10th, 1956 | 3,477.05 |
1961 | Saturday February 4th, 1961 | 3,484.15 |
1957 | Saturday December 28th, 1957 | 3,497.03 |
1963 | Wednesday November 27th, 1963 | 3,509.89 |
1983 | Saturday March 19th, 1983 | 3,518.36 |
1949 | Saturday November 26th, 1949 | 3,532.89 |
1982 | Sunday December 26th, 1982 | 3,533.80 |
1950 | Saturday March 25th, 1950 | 3,535.85 |
1980 | Saturday December 13th, 1980 | 3,541.17 |
1964 | Friday January 3rd, 1964 | 3,546.89 |
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Millwall history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|
Millwall Athletic (3,761) vs. Aston Villa (4,151) Monday March 5th, 1900 |
18.29% | 2-1 | +16.3 |
Millwall (3,605) vs. Newcastle United (3,989) Saturday January 26th, 1957 |
16.93% | 2-1 | +16.6 |
Millwall (3,623) vs. West Bromwich Albion (3,978) Tuesday October 4th, 1983 |
18.04% | 3-0 | +28.7 |
Millwall (3,738) vs. Manchester City (4,084) Saturday March 6th, 1937 |
22.64% | 2-0 | +23.2 |
Millwall (3,705) vs. Derby County (4,035) Saturday February 20th, 1937 |
24.26% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
Millwall Athletic (3,726) vs. Everton (4,056) Saturday March 7th, 1903 |
24.85% | 1-0 | +15.0 |
Millwall (3,704) vs. Bradford City (4,014) Saturday January 31st, 1914 |
25.21% | 1-0 | +15.0 |
Millwall (3,773) vs. Huddersfield Town (4,071) Saturday January 8th, 1927 |
27.16% | 3-1 | +21.9 |
Millwall (3,684) vs. Chelsea (3,975) Saturday January 30th, 1937 |
28.74% | 3-0 | +24.9 |
Chelsea (4,005) vs. Millwall (3,717) Monday February 4th, 1985 |
10.04% | 2-3 | +18.0 |
Wigan Athletic (3,979) vs. Millwall (3,698) Tuesday April 8th, 2014 |
13.61% | 0-1 | +17.3 |
Millwall (3,721) vs. AFC Bournemouth (4,001) Saturday January 7th, 2017 |
19.72% | 3-0 | +14.0 |
Millwall (3,722) vs. Bury (3,999) Wednesday February 3rd, 1926 |
29.03% | 2-0 | +21.3 |
Millwall (3,604) vs. Fulham (3,879) Monday January 11th, 1965 |
27.02% | 2-0 | +21.9 |
Millwall (3,755) vs. Leicester City (4,029) Tuesday April 9th, 2024 |
20.30% | 1-0 | +15.9 |
Millwall (3,764) vs. Leicester City (4,034) Saturday February 18th, 2017 |
20.61% | 1-0 | +11.9 |
Millwall (3,505) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (3,770) Saturday September 22nd, 1956 |
28.82% | 4-3 | +14.2 |
Millwall (3,516) vs. Leyton Orient (3,770) Monday April 30th, 1956 |
30.04% | 5-0 | +28.0 |
Millwall (3,715) vs. Ipswich Town (3,967) Tuesday September 19th, 2000 |
25.51% | 2-0 | +11.2 |
Newcastle United (4,000) vs. Millwall (3,748) Wednesday August 31st, 1977 |
11.37% | 0-2 | +26.6 |
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Millwall history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|
Millwall (3,712) vs. Lincoln City (3,175) Saturday January 8th, 1921 |
97.73% | 0-3 | -34.2 |
Headington United (3,197) vs. Millwall (3,679) Thursday December 17th, 1953 |
89.73% | 1-0 | -17.9 |
Hereford United (3,271) vs. Millwall (3,750) Saturday December 4th, 1965 |
89.64% | 1-0 | -17.9 |
Slough Town (3,108) vs. Millwall (3,579) Saturday November 20th, 1982 |
89.92% | 1-0 | -18.0 |
Norwich City (3,531) vs. Millwall (3,878) Monday April 30th, 1928 |
77.82% | 2-0 | -23.3 |
Cambridge United (3,560) vs. Millwall (3,895) Tuesday January 30th, 1990 |
81.55% | 1-0 | -16.3 |
Scunthorpe United (3,496) vs. Millwall (3,827) Tuesday January 8th, 1974 |
78.86% | 1-0 | -15.8 |
Worcester City (3,186) vs. Millwall (3,507) Saturday December 6th, 1958 |
77.61% | 5-2 | -27.2 |
Millwall (3,532) vs. Kettering Town (3,211) Monday November 25th, 1963 |
91.99% | 2-3 | -18.4 |
Millwall (3,834) vs. Oxford United (3,515) Tuesday August 12th, 2003 |
89.84% | 0-1 | -9.0 |
Swindon Town (3,391) vs. Millwall Athletic (3,710) Saturday September 6th, 1902 |
73.96% | 3-2 | -14.8 |
Sheppey United (3,521) vs. Millwall Athletic (3,832) Saturday March 20th, 1897 |
73.09% | 4-1 | -25.6 |
Bath City (3,240) vs. Millwall (3,549) Saturday November 14th, 1959 |
76.59% | 3-1 | -23.0 |
Millwall Athletic (3,874) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (3,577) Friday December 25th, 1896 |
92.38% | 0-4 | -34.6 |
Northampton Town (3,432) vs. Millwall (3,721) Monday August 13th, 1979 |
74.43% | 2-1 | -14.9 |
Millwall Athletic (3,828) vs. Bristol City (3,547) Saturday September 18th, 1897 |
91.48% | 2-6 | -34.3 |
Preston North End (3,518) vs. Millwall (3,797) Saturday April 13th, 1985 |
74.46% | 2-1 | -14.9 |
Darlington (3,535) vs. Millwall (3,812) Tuesday October 31st, 1967 |
72.97% | 2-0 | -21.9 |
Cardiff City (3,528) vs. Millwall (3,797) Monday January 26th, 1987 |
73.99% | 1-0 | -14.8 |
Gillingham (3,551) vs. Millwall (3,816) Saturday April 23rd, 1927 |
69.01% | 2-1 | -13.8 |
A complete listing of Millwall's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.