This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Hornchurch
ELO Score History
A historical overview of Hornchurch's ELO scores.
Best Teams in History
A list of the top 15 Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Saturday March 16th, 2024 | 3,295.89 |
| 2023 | Saturday November 25th, 2023 | 3,277.12 |
| 2025 | Saturday March 8th, 2025 | 3,254.39 |
| 2022 | Tuesday December 6th, 2022 | 3,220.24 |
| 2004 | Saturday October 23rd, 2004 | 3,208.25 |
| 2005 | Saturday January 1st, 2005 | 3,147.56 |
| 2013 | Saturday October 5th, 2013 | 3,135.10 |
| 2012 | Saturday March 3rd, 2012 | 3,114.51 |
| 2020 | Tuesday February 4th, 2020 | 3,113.23 |
| 2014 | Saturday February 15th, 2014 | 3,109.17 |
| 2021 | Saturday August 14th, 2021 | 3,105.69 |
| 2011 | Tuesday December 27th, 2011 | 3,092.40 |
| 2019 | Saturday December 28th, 2019 | 3,083.15 |
| 2018 | Tuesday October 2nd, 2018 | 3,057.53 |
Worst Teams in History
A list of the worst 15 Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Saturday April 25th, 2015 | 2,902.24 |
| 2007 | Tuesday August 21st, 2007 | 2,926.34 |
| 2010 | Saturday October 2nd, 2010 | 2,931.30 |
| 2009 | Saturday October 3rd, 2009 | 2,945.93 |
| 2019 | Saturday January 26th, 2019 | 2,954.12 |
| 2008 | Tuesday February 5th, 2008 | 2,957.53 |
| 2018 | Saturday December 22nd, 2018 | 2,963.60 |
| 2014 | Tuesday September 30th, 2014 | 2,974.98 |
| 2011 | Saturday February 12th, 2011 | 2,983.26 |
| 2013 | Saturday August 10th, 2013 | 3,045.03 |
| 2012 | Saturday November 3rd, 2012 | 3,047.90 |
| 2021 | Saturday October 23rd, 2021 | 3,052.09 |
| 2020 | Saturday October 10th, 2020 | 3,056.63 |
| 2005 | Saturday April 9th, 2005 | 3,070.75 |
| 2022 | Saturday January 1st, 2022 | 3,088.10 |
Significant Victories
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Hornchurch history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Hornchurch (3,100) vs. Darlington (3,401) Sunday November 9th, 2003 |
19.98% | 2-0 | +12.0 |
|
Chelmsford City (3,138) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2,958) Saturday February 9th, 2008 |
21.08% | 0-4 | +29.6 |
|
Dartford (3,135) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2,956) Saturday November 28th, 2009 |
21.57% | 0-1 | +15.7 |
|
Hayes and Yeading United (3,227) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3,059) Saturday December 1st, 2012 |
22.89% | 1-3 | +23.1 |
|
Chelmsford City (3,211) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3,061) Wednesday March 13th, 2013 |
24.79% | 1-4 | +26.3 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (2,939) vs. Chelmsford City (3,074) Saturday September 1st, 2007 |
37.93% | 1-0 | +12.4 |
|
Basingstoke Town (3,176) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3,063) Saturday September 8th, 2012 |
28.95% | 0-2 | +21.3 |
|
Hornchurch (3,228) vs. Boreham Wood (3,331) Tuesday February 11th, 2025 |
40.66% | 2-1 | +11.9 |
|
Tonbridge Angels (3,061) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2,958) Saturday March 7th, 2009 |
29.70% | 0-1 | +14.1 |
|
Leatherhead (3,077) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2,977) Saturday February 23rd, 2019 |
30.76% | 1-2 | +13.8 |
|
Hornchurch (3,224) vs. Worthing (3,314) Tuesday March 25th, 2025 |
42.54% | 1-0 | +11.5 |
|
Hornchurch (3,065) vs. Folkestone Invicta (3,151) Tuesday October 1st, 2019 |
43.23% | 1-0 | +11.4 |
|
Hornchurch (3,057) vs. Carshalton Athletic (3,141) Saturday October 17th, 2020 |
43.56% | 4-0 | +21.2 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,048) vs. Eastleigh (3,131) Saturday November 17th, 2012 |
44.27% | 1-0 | +11.1 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,050) vs. Bath City (3,128) Saturday March 9th, 2013 |
44.92% | 2-1 | +11.0 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (2,960) vs. Enfield Town (3,037) Saturday February 16th, 2019 |
44.88% | 2-0 | +16.5 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (2,979) vs. Dulwich Hamlet (3,054) Saturday March 14th, 2015 |
45.06% | 1-0 | +11.0 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,018) vs. Leatherhead (3,084) Saturday August 11th, 2018 |
46.36% | 3-0 | +18.8 |
|
Carshalton Athletic (3,092) vs. Hornchurch (3,026) Saturday September 14th, 2019 |
35.27% | 1-4 | +22.7 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,071) vs. Lowestoft Town (3,130) Monday January 2nd, 2012 |
48.00% | 3-0 | +18.2 |
Significant Defeats
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Hornchurch history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,100) vs. Cray Wanderers (2,763) Tuesday March 18th, 2014 |
89.78% | 1-2 | -18.0 |
|
Canvey Island (3,000) vs. Hornchurch (3,290) Tuesday April 16th, 2024 |
81.11% | 4-1 | -28.4 |
|
Bowers and Pitsea (2,950) vs. Hornchurch (3,204) Monday April 18th, 2022 |
77.54% | 2-1 | -15.5 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,115) vs. Hastings United (2,869) Tuesday March 6th, 2012 |
84.19% | 0-1 | -16.8 |
|
Hornchurch (3,211) vs. Margate (2,968) Saturday March 25th, 2023 |
83.38% | 2-3 | -16.7 |
|
Hornchurch (3,188) vs. Wingate and Finchley (2,954) Saturday April 23rd, 2022 |
82.79% | 1-2 | -16.6 |
|
Hornchurch (3,089) vs. Wingate and Finchley (2,877) Tuesday October 6th, 2020 |
80.95% | 2-3 | -16.2 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,123) vs. Harrow Borough (2,912) Tuesday November 12th, 2013 |
81.00% | 2-4 | -24.3 |
|
Hastings United (3,086) vs. Hornchurch (3,296) Tuesday March 19th, 2024 |
73.04% | 1-0 | -14.6 |
|
Hornchurch (3,293) vs. Wingate and Finchley (3,091) Saturday March 30th, 2024 |
79.72% | 1-2 | -15.9 |
|
Bishop's Stortford (2,904) vs. Hornchurch (3,105) Saturday September 26th, 2020 |
71.62% | 1-0 | -14.3 |
|
Chatham Town (3,087) vs. Hornchurch (3,271) Saturday December 16th, 2023 |
69.97% | 2-0 | -21.0 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,086) vs. Hendon (2,914) Tuesday November 29th, 2011 |
77.76% | 0-1 | -15.6 |
|
Hornchurch (3,213) vs. Canvey Island (3,050) Saturday January 14th, 2023 |
75.94% | 1-3 | -22.8 |
|
Harrow Borough (2,924) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3,085) Saturday April 21st, 2012 |
66.12% | 1-0 | -13.2 |
|
Corinthian-Casuals (2,911) vs. Hornchurch (3,065) Saturday October 23rd, 2021 |
66.04% | 1-0 | -13.2 |
|
Canvey Island (3,020) vs. Hornchurch (3,173) Saturday August 27th, 2022 |
66.04% | 2-1 | -13.2 |
|
Potters Bar Town (2,969) vs. Hornchurch (3,113) Saturday February 8th, 2020 |
64.69% | 2-1 | -12.9 |
|
Aveley (3,061) vs. Hornchurch (3,205) Saturday November 12th, 2022 |
64.96% | 1-0 | -13.0 |
|
AFC Hornchurch (3,095) vs. Grays Athletic (2,950) Saturday March 1st, 2014 |
74.38% | 1-2 | -14.9 |
Opponents
A complete listing of Hornchurch's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
