This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
A historical overview of Manchester United's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.
Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
---|---|---|
2013 | Saturday March 2nd, 2013 | 4,332.95 |
2009 | Saturday March 7th, 2009 | 4,330.15 |
2007 | Saturday March 31st, 2007 | 4,319.04 |
2008 | Saturday March 29th, 2008 | 4,311.43 |
2012 | Saturday December 29th, 2012 | 4,307.05 |
2010 | Monday August 16th, 2010 | 4,304.03 |
2011 | Tuesday September 20th, 2011 | 4,303.05 |
2006 | Saturday December 9th, 2006 | 4,301.39 |
2001 | Sunday February 25th, 2001 | 4,287.72 |
2000 | Saturday November 25th, 2000 | 4,287.61 |
2005 | Saturday March 19th, 2005 | 4,285.86 |
2018 | Sunday April 29th, 2018 | 4,285.02 |
2003 | Saturday October 18th, 2003 | 4,280.24 |
2021 | Sunday May 9th, 2021 | 4,277.01 |
2004 | Wednesday January 7th, 2004 | 4,276.14 |
A list of the worst 15 Manchester United sides in history, based on their ELO score.
Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
---|---|---|
1934 | Friday March 30th, 1934 | 3,687.10 |
1902 | Friday March 28th, 1902 | 3,693.69 |
1933 | Saturday December 30th, 1933 | 3,736.59 |
1932 | Saturday January 23rd, 1932 | 3,739.75 |
1903 | Saturday March 7th, 1903 | 3,752.06 |
1931 | Saturday November 7th, 1931 | 3,763.83 |
1924 | Saturday April 5th, 1924 | 3,764.39 |
1894 | Saturday September 8th, 1894 | 3,769.75 |
1896 | Monday March 23rd, 1896 | 3,769.99 |
1901 | Tuesday April 9th, 1901 | 3,770.44 |
1930 | Saturday October 25th, 1930 | 3,778.44 |
1922 | Monday December 25th, 1922 | 3,788.29 |
1897 | Saturday January 9th, 1897 | 3,796.59 |
1899 | Saturday April 1st, 1899 | 3,799.29 |
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Manchester United history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|
Manchester United (3,805) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (4,113) Wednesday January 28th, 1931 |
26.36% | 4-1 | +25.8 |
Newton Heath (3,784) vs. Blackburn Rovers (4,068) Monday March 12th, 1894 |
29.28% | 5-1 | +26.5 |
Newton Heath (3,837) vs. Preston North End (4,109) Saturday April 1st, 1893 |
28.90% | 2-1 | +14.2 |
Manchester United (3,784) vs. Derby County (4,054) Saturday December 13th, 1930 |
30.88% | 2-1 | +13.8 |
Manchester City (4,448) vs. Manchester United (4,179) Saturday May 25th, 2024 |
17.48% | 1-2 | +16.5 |
Manchester United (4,114) vs. Liverpool (4,380) Monday August 22nd, 2022 |
21.11% | 2-1 | +15.8 |
Manchester City (4,027) vs. Manchester United (3,764) Friday April 10th, 1903 |
9.03% | 0-2 | +27.3 |
Manchester City (4,382) vs. Manchester United (4,127) Wednesday January 29th, 2020 |
15.53% | 0-1 | +16.9 |
Manchester United (3,929) vs. Liverpool (4,183) Saturday November 11th, 1972 |
29.24% | 2-0 | +21.2 |
Manchester United (3,768) vs. Liverpool (4,007) Saturday February 7th, 1903 |
35.83% | 2-1 | +12.8 |
Manchester City (4,384) vs. Manchester United (4,154) Saturday December 7th, 2019 |
17.50% | 1-2 | +16.5 |
Manchester United (4,013) vs. Liverpool (4,236) Wednesday October 31st, 1990 |
30.00% | 3-1 | +21.0 |
Leeds United (4,173) vs. Manchester United (3,964) Wednesday April 18th, 1973 |
14.39% | 0-1 | +17.1 |
Manchester United (4,034) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4,241) Monday January 16th, 1961 |
35.57% | 2-0 | +19.3 |
Manchester City (4,355) vs. Manchester United (4,158) Sunday December 15th, 2024 |
20.57% | 1-2 | +15.9 |
Manchester United (3,778) vs. Birmingham (3,970) Saturday November 1st, 1930 |
41.25% | 2-0 | +17.6 |
Manchester United (3,993) vs. Ipswich Town (4,183) Saturday March 21st, 1981 |
37.27% | 2-1 | +12.5 |
Manchester United (4,052) vs. Liverpool (4,239) Saturday April 5th, 1980 |
38.27% | 2-1 | +12.3 |
Manchester United (4,172) vs. Manchester City (4,355) Sunday March 8th, 2020 |
30.38% | 2-0 | +20.9 |
Manchester United (3,990) vs. Everton (4,171) Saturday August 31st, 1963 |
38.95% | 5-1 | +22.9 |
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Manchester United history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|
Southend United (3,676) vs. Manchester United (4,293) Tuesday November 7th, 2006 |
96.28% | 1-0 | -9.6 |
Derby County (3,759) vs. Manchester United (4,304) Wednesday January 7th, 2009 |
94.61% | 1-0 | -18.9 |
Manchester United (4,183) vs. York City (3,653) Wednesday September 20th, 1995 |
96.90% | 0-3 | -17.0 |
Manchester United (4,283) vs. Coventry City (3,759) Wednesday September 26th, 2007 |
96.45% | 0-2 | -14.5 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3,658) vs. Manchester United (4,158) Tuesday August 26th, 2014 |
93.36% | 4-0 | -17.5 |
AFC Bournemouth (3,593) vs. Manchester United (4,087) Saturday January 7th, 1984 |
91.01% | 2-0 | -27.3 |
Manchester United (4,278) vs. Crystal Palace (3,810) Wednesday November 30th, 2011 |
95.06% | 1-2 | -19.0 |
Norwich City (3,598) vs. Manchester United (4,064) Saturday January 10th, 1959 |
88.85% | 3-0 | -31.1 |
Manchester United (4,282) vs. Leeds United (3,867) Sunday January 3rd, 2010 |
93.38% | 0-1 | -9.3 |
Norwich City (3,873) vs. Manchester United (4,278) Saturday April 9th, 2005 |
87.93% | 2-0 | -26.4 |
Huddersfield Town (3,863) vs. Manchester United (4,254) Saturday October 21st, 2017 |
88.41% | 2-1 | -17.7 |
Burnley (3,914) vs. Manchester United (4,304) Wednesday August 19th, 2009 |
87.96% | 1-0 | -17.6 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers (3,903) vs. Manchester United (4,290) Saturday February 5th, 2011 |
87.78% | 2-1 | -17.6 |
Manchester United (4,129) vs. Norwich City (3,748) Saturday February 18th, 1967 |
94.18% | 1-2 | -18.8 |
Manchester United (4,280) vs. West Bromwich Albion (3,902) Sunday April 15th, 2018 |
91.68% | 0-1 | -18.3 |
Ipswich Town (3,820) vs. Manchester United (4,198) Saturday September 24th, 1994 |
85.49% | 3-2 | -17.1 |
Manchester United (4,136) vs. Hull City (3,758) Saturday January 12th, 1952 |
93.86% | 0-2 | -28.2 |
Wigan Athletic (3,922) vs. Manchester United (4,300) Wednesday April 11th, 2012 |
87.11% | 1-0 | -17.4 |
Manchester United (3,967) vs. Swindon Town (3,592) Saturday January 11th, 1930 |
94.82% | 0-2 | -28.4 |
Stoke City (3,803) vs. Manchester United (4,177) Wednesday September 22nd, 1993 |
85.07% | 2-1 | -8.5 |
A complete listing of Manchester United's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.