Stat Attack

ELO Head-to-Head

This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Cambridge United vs. Swindon Town

Head-to-Head

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.

ELO Score History Comparison

A historical comparison of Cambridge United's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.

Cambridge United Swindon Town
Current ELO Score 3,640.5
Sunday March 29th, 202629 MAR 2026
3,579.8
Sunday March 29th, 202629 MAR 2026
Best ELO Score 3,855.6
Tuesday January 14th, 199214 JAN 1992
3,900.4
Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990
Worst ELO Score 3,166.0
Saturday November 14th, 196414 NOV 1964
3,167.9
Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887

Past Matches

A summary of all historical matches between Cambridge United and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.

Venue Played Cambridge United
wins
Draws Swindon
wins
Cambridge United
goals
Swindon
goals
Cambridge United
SR%
Swindon
SR%
TOTAL 24 6 4 14 23 41 33.3% 66.7%
Home 12 4 3 5 14 16 45.8% 54.2%
Away 12 2 1 9 9 25 20.8% 79.2%
Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
09 AUG 2025 EFL Swindon Town (3541) Swindon (3541) 3 - 2 Cambridge United (3561) Cambridge United (3561) 9.5
10 AUG 2021 LC Cambridge United (3566) Cambridge United (3566) 0 - 0 Swindon Town (3547) Swindon (3547) 0.8
26 DEC 2019 EFL Swindon Town (3594) Swindon (3594) 4 - 0 Cambridge United (3475) Cambridge United (3475) 10.8
21 SEP 2019 EFL Cambridge United (3483) Cambridge United (3483) 0 - 1 Swindon Town (3550) Swindon (3550) 9.2
19 APR 2019 EFL Cambridge United (3450) Cambridge United (3450) 0 - 0 Swindon Town (3543) Swindon (3543) 1.5
23 OCT 2018 EFL Swindon Town (3518) Swindon (3518) 0 - 2 Cambridge United (3435) Cambridge United (3435) 20.1
17 MAR 2018 EFL Cambridge United (3506) Cambridge United (3506) 1 - 3 Swindon Town (3531) Swindon (3531) 15.6
30 SEP 2017 EFL Swindon Town (3549) Swindon (3549) 2 - 0 Cambridge United (3538) Cambridge United (3538) 12.9
09 APR 2002 EFL Cambridge United (3479) Cambridge United (3479) 1 - 2 Swindon Town (3609) Swindon (3609) 8.2
24 OCT 2001 EFL Swindon Town (3627) Swindon (3627) 2 - 0 Cambridge United (3560) Cambridge United (3560) 9.5
17 FEB 2001 EFL Cambridge United (3586) Cambridge United (3586) 0 - 1 Swindon Town (3580) Swindon (3580) 12.0
31 OCT 2000 EFL Swindon Town (3589) Swindon (3589) 3 - 1 Cambridge United (3626) Cambridge United (3626) 13.7
11 NOV 1995 FAC Swindon Town (3812) Swindon (3812) 4 - 1 Cambridge United (3539) Cambridge United (3539) 2.1
23 AUG 1995 LC Swindon Town (3749) Swindon (3749) 2 - 0 Cambridge United (3612) Cambridge United (3612) 3.5
15 AUG 1995 LC Cambridge United (3613) Cambridge United (3613) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3743) Swindon (3743) 5.9
20 FEB 1993 EFL Cambridge United (3759) Cambridge United (3759) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3836) Swindon (3836) 10.1
29 AUG 1992 EFL Swindon Town (3844) Swindon (3844) 4 - 1 Cambridge United (3758) Cambridge United (3758) 10.0
25 JAN 1992 FAC Cambridge United (3840) Cambridge United (3840) 0 - 3 Swindon Town (3815) Swindon (3815) 22.4
11 JAN 1992 EFL Swindon Town (3847) Swindon (3847) 0 - 2 Cambridge United (3827) Cambridge United (3827) 19.0
24 AUG 1991 EFL Cambridge United (3791) Cambridge United (3791) 3 - 2 Swindon Town (3755) Swindon (3755) 6.9
05 APR 1986 EFL Cambridge United (3378) Cambridge United (3378) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3642) Swindon (3642) 4.6
06 NOV 1985 EFL Swindon Town (3545) Swindon (3545) 1 - 0 Cambridge United (3385) Cambridge United (3385) 3.8
04 APR 1978 EFL Swindon Town (3678) Swindon (3678) 0 - 0 Cambridge United (3709) Cambridge United (3709) 2.1
27 SEP 1977 EFL Cambridge United (3618) Cambridge United (3618) 5 - 2 Swindon Town (3659) Swindon (3659) 14.4

Identical Matchups

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Cambridge United (3641) and Swindon Town (3580).

Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
16 AUG 2025 EFL Stevenage (3641) Stevenage (3641) 2 - 0 Northampton Town (3580) Northampton Town (3580) 10.8
08 SEP 2012 EFL Bury (3580) Bury (3580) 1 - 2 Preston North End (3641) Preston North End (3641) 9.5
28 DEC 2005 EFL Chesterfield (3641) Chesterfield (3641) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3580) Swindon (3580) 3.3
31 DEC 1977 EFL Oxford United (3580) Oxford United (3580) 0 - 0 Exeter City (3641) Exeter City (3641) 1.3
02 NOV 1929 EFL Tranmere Rovers (3641) Tranmere Rovers (3641) 1 - 2 Crewe Alexandra (3580) Crewe Alexandra (3580) 15.0