This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Nelson
ELO Score History
A historical overview of Nelson's ELO scores.
Best Teams in History
A list of the top 15 Nelson sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1925 | Saturday March 7th, 1925 | 3,706.70 |
| 1927 | Saturday February 12th, 1927 | 3,689.25 |
| 1926 | Saturday January 2nd, 1926 | 3,670.60 |
| 1924 | Tuesday September 9th, 1924 | 3,660.31 |
| 1923 | Tuesday December 25th, 1923 | 3,658.03 |
| 1921 | Saturday September 24th, 1921 | 3,595.09 |
| 1922 | Saturday December 30th, 1922 | 3,586.86 |
| 1929 | Saturday November 23rd, 1929 | 3,537.49 |
| 1930 | Saturday February 22nd, 1930 | 3,531.73 |
| 1928 | Saturday December 15th, 1928 | 3,483.29 |
| 1931 | Saturday February 14th, 1931 | 3,398.89 |
Worst Teams in History
A list of the worst 15 Nelson sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1931 | Saturday May 2nd, 1931 | 3,329.62 |
| 1930 | Thursday December 18th, 1930 | 3,376.90 |
| 1928 | Saturday October 20th, 1928 | 3,405.86 |
| 1927 | Saturday December 31st, 1927 | 3,461.09 |
| 1929 | Saturday January 19th, 1929 | 3,463.49 |
| 1922 | Friday April 14th, 1922 | 3,481.31 |
| 1921 | Saturday December 31st, 1921 | 3,525.30 |
| 1926 | Saturday August 28th, 1926 | 3,566.65 |
| 1923 | Saturday January 6th, 1923 | 3,571.11 |
| 1924 | Saturday March 1st, 1924 | 3,599.01 |
| 1925 | Saturday October 3rd, 1925 | 3,604.81 |
Significant Victories
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Nelson history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Nelson (3,463) vs. Stockport County (3,723) Tuesday January 22nd, 1929 |
32.09% | 4-1 | +23.8 |
|
Bradford City (3,715) vs. Nelson (3,456) Saturday December 15th, 1928 |
9.71% | 0-2 | +27.1 |
|
Nelson (3,377) vs. Wrexham (3,627) Saturday December 20th, 1930 |
33.35% | 2-0 | +20.0 |
|
Nelson (3,427) vs. Darlington (3,669) Saturday April 7th, 1928 |
34.34% | 4-0 | +24.6 |
|
Nelson (3,631) vs. Leeds United (3,872) Saturday May 3rd, 1924 |
32.80% | 3-1 | +20.2 |
|
Nelson (3,482) vs. Bradford (Park Avenue) (3,719) Saturday September 2nd, 1922 |
33.03% | 1-0 | +13.4 |
|
Nelson (3,418) vs. South Shields AFC (3,651) Wednesday September 12th, 1928 |
35.37% | 1-0 | +12.9 |
|
Nelson (3,614) vs. Stoke (3,831) Saturday September 29th, 1923 |
35.91% | 2-0 | +19.2 |
|
Nelson (3,416) vs. Darlington (3,625) Saturday September 6th, 1930 |
38.78% | 3-1 | +18.4 |
|
Manchester United (3,797) vs. Nelson (3,599) Saturday March 8th, 1924 |
14.11% | 0-1 | +17.2 |
|
Nelson (3,451) vs. Rochdale (3,649) Saturday January 7th, 1928 |
40.30% | 6-3 | +20.9 |
|
Nelson (3,646) vs. Oldham Athletic (3,841) Saturday January 19th, 1924 |
38.78% | 2-1 | +12.2 |
|
Nelson (3,412) vs. Darlington (3,596) Saturday September 1st, 1928 |
42.14% | 2-1 | +11.6 |
|
Nelson (3,351) vs. Wigan Borough (3,526) Friday April 3rd, 1931 |
43.67% | 2-1 | +11.3 |
|
Nelson (3,383) vs. Doncaster Rovers (3,538) Saturday February 14th, 1931 |
46.41% | 2-0 | +16.1 |
|
Nelson (3,647) vs. Derby County (3,797) Tuesday December 25th, 1923 |
45.13% | 2-1 | +11.0 |
|
Halifax Town (3,563) vs. Nelson (3,426) Saturday December 1st, 1928 |
17.76% | 1-2 | +16.4 |
|
New Brighton (3,580) vs. Nelson (3,447) Saturday September 22nd, 1928 |
18.17% | 0-1 | +16.4 |
|
Nelson (3,406) vs. Rotherham United (3,532) Saturday October 27th, 1928 |
50.47% | 4-2 | +14.9 |
|
Nelson (3,622) vs. Barnsley (3,748) Saturday March 22nd, 1924 |
48.63% | 4-3 | +10.3 |
Significant Defeats
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Nelson history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Rotherham County (3,417) vs. Nelson (3,680) Saturday April 25th, 1925 |
69.50% | 1-0 | -13.9 |
|
Barrow (3,319) vs. Nelson (3,575) Thursday September 29th, 1927 |
67.50% | 3-1 | -20.3 |
|
Walsall (3,476) vs. Nelson (3,689) Saturday February 19th, 1927 |
62.27% | 4-1 | -21.8 |
|
Barrow (3,449) vs. Nelson (3,653) Saturday September 20th, 1924 |
62.00% | 3-0 | -21.7 |
|
Grimsby Town (3,507) vs. Nelson (3,707) Saturday March 14th, 1925 |
61.30% | 2-0 | -18.4 |
|
Wrexham (3,470) vs. Nelson (3,663) Saturday February 6th, 1926 |
60.20% | 3-2 | -12.0 |
|
Barrow (3,431) vs. Nelson (3,623) Monday September 28th, 1925 |
59.90% | 1-0 | -12.0 |
|
Crewe Alexandra (3,521) vs. Nelson (3,703) Friday April 10th, 1925 |
58.90% | 2-1 | -11.8 |
|
Nelson (3,699) vs. Wrexham (3,523) Saturday April 18th, 1925 |
84.53% | 2-4 | -25.4 |
|
Hartlepools United (3,482) vs. Nelson (3,654) Saturday November 20th, 1926 |
56.56% | 3-2 | -11.3 |
|
Durham City (3,504) vs. Nelson (3,666) Wednesday April 29th, 1925 |
56.10% | 3-1 | -16.8 |
|
Witton Albion (3,165) vs. Nelson (3,322) Saturday November 21st, 1953 |
57.41% | 4-1 | -20.1 |
|
Accrington Stanley (3,509) vs. Nelson (3,660) Saturday February 20th, 1926 |
54.25% | 3-2 | -10.8 |
|
Crewe Alexandra (3,511) vs. Nelson (3,661) Saturday April 2nd, 1927 |
53.40% | 2-1 | -10.7 |
|
Doncaster Rovers (3,551) vs. Nelson (3,688) Saturday January 22nd, 1927 |
51.48% | 6-0 | -21.9 |
|
Lincoln City (3,552) vs. Nelson (3,688) Wednesday March 18th, 1925 |
52.37% | 2-1 | -10.5 |
|
Hartlepools United (3,524) vs. Nelson (3,658) Saturday March 6th, 1926 |
51.74% | 2-0 | -15.5 |
|
Southport (3,535) vs. Nelson (3,666) Saturday January 23rd, 1926 |
51.38% | 2-1 | -10.3 |
|
Wigan Borough (3,524) vs. Nelson (3,654) Wednesday December 2nd, 1925 |
51.21% | 3-0 | -17.9 |
|
Nelson (3,575) vs. Accrington Stanley (3,469) Saturday August 27th, 1927 |
79.49% | 1-4 | -27.8 |
Opponents
A complete listing of Nelson's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
| # | Opponent | P | W | D | L | Avg ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Darlington
Darlington
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +3.56 |
| 2 |
Rochdale
Rochdale
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +2.75 |
| 3 |
Rotherham United
Rotherham United
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +2.40 |
| 4 |
FC Halifax Town
FC Halifax Town
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +2.03 |
| 5 |
Southport
Southport
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +1.18 |
| 6 |
Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +0.39 |
| 7 |
Walsall
Walsall
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +0.23 |
| 8 |
Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +0.11 |
| 9 |
Stockport County
Stockport County
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -0.40 |
| 10 |
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -0.62 |
| 11 |
Wrexham
Wrexham
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -0.73 |
| 12 |
Chesterfield
Chesterfield
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -0.75 |
| 13 |
Bradford (Park Avenue)
Bradford (PA)
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -0.92 |
| 14 |
Durham City
Durham City
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -0.98 |
| 15 |
Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -1.31 |
| 16 |
New Brighton
New Brighton
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1.36 |
| 17 |
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -2.40 |
| 18 |
Accrington Stanley
Accrington
|
18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -2.64 |
| 19 |
Wigan Borough
Wigan Borough
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -2.78 |
| 20 |
Barrow
Barrow
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | -3.58 |
| 21 |
Ashington
Ashington
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -4.90 |